Post by Logan on May 7, 2016 0:46:00 GMT -6
This week, we saw examples of no less than 10 reasons that Hillary Clinton is going to sweep to victory in November:
1. The economy is good enough. The jobs report (160,000 jobs created, the unemployment rate steady at 5 percent) is not stellar, but there is no sign yet of a serious downturn. Conservative economist Doug Holtz-Eakin emails, "The other good news from the employer survey was that average hourly earnings rose by 0.3 percent; up 2.5 percent over the past year. The workweek edged up modestly. Put together, average weekly earnings rose solidly." Unless there is a serious economic crisis (as there was in 2008), the incumbent party has the strong upper hand.
2. Donald Trump is so reckless and scary on economic issues that he scares even Republicans. He bizarrely suggested he would negotiate the sovereign debt of the United States. That is a default and has never been attempted in U.S. history. His recklessness on this is likely a preview of things to come.
3. The GOP is badly divided, if not on the verge of a split. It is Politics 101 that the party in turmoil (Democrats in 1980, for example) loses. Already, donors are closing their wallets, and Republicans, including two past presidents and both halves of the 2012 ticket, are refusing to endorse Trump.
Read more: www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion/commentary/ct-hillary-clinton-will-beat-donald-trump-20160506-story.html
1. The economy is good enough. The jobs report (160,000 jobs created, the unemployment rate steady at 5 percent) is not stellar, but there is no sign yet of a serious downturn. Conservative economist Doug Holtz-Eakin emails, "The other good news from the employer survey was that average hourly earnings rose by 0.3 percent; up 2.5 percent over the past year. The workweek edged up modestly. Put together, average weekly earnings rose solidly." Unless there is a serious economic crisis (as there was in 2008), the incumbent party has the strong upper hand.
2. Donald Trump is so reckless and scary on economic issues that he scares even Republicans. He bizarrely suggested he would negotiate the sovereign debt of the United States. That is a default and has never been attempted in U.S. history. His recklessness on this is likely a preview of things to come.
3. The GOP is badly divided, if not on the verge of a split. It is Politics 101 that the party in turmoil (Democrats in 1980, for example) loses. Already, donors are closing their wallets, and Republicans, including two past presidents and both halves of the 2012 ticket, are refusing to endorse Trump.
Read more: www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion/commentary/ct-hillary-clinton-will-beat-donald-trump-20160506-story.html